外媒：這場關稅戰，美國已敗了

作者：人大重陽

來源：人大重陽

全文2461字，預計閱讀需6分鐘。

關稅戰持續升級，中國人民大學重陽金融研究院院長王文在國際輿論鬥爭最前沿持續發聲。繼在美歐亞11國頂媒炮轟特朗普關稅政策、外媒猛批特朗普像慈禧太后宣戰“萬國”不自量力、重磅文章被17國媒體全文轉載、在歐洲媒體揭批特朗普是沒誠意的壞商人後，近日又接受“今日俄羅斯電視臺”採訪。他指出，特朗普每天都在製造謊言，已成為世界的公敵，且這一輪關稅戰已經失敗了。現將專訪內容及影片釋出如下：

▲王文接受今日俄羅斯專訪。點選檢視影片

今日俄羅斯：與我們連線的是中國人民大學重陽金融研究院院長。此刻是北京時間是晚上10點25分。王文教授，很抱歉讓您這麼晚還沒休息。非常感謝您做客今日俄羅斯電視臺國際頻道，我們一直很欣賞您的評論。中國財政部表示，美國在玩數字遊戲，我想知道這是什麼意思？另外，您認為這種關稅升級會一直持續下去嗎？畢竟總有個臨界點，對吧？

王文：這反映了中國保持戰略定力、戰略耐力與戰略剋制，聚焦做好國內的事情，不願意與美國再玩這些數字的遊戲。實際上我認為，特朗普給中國加徵超過100%的關稅，是完全沒有意義的。因為與此同時，特朗普還試圖推遲對其他國家商品加稅，意在圍堵中國，這個招數也是愚蠢的。我認為那隻會鼓勵轉口貿易，美國需要中國商品。這隻會導致其他國家更多地買中國商品，然後賣給美國消費者，最終還是美國消費者承擔了關稅。

今日俄羅斯：沒錯，我完全同意。說到底，這些關稅只會像滾雪球一樣轉嫁給普通納稅人，遭殃的不是那1%的頂層富豪，而是街頭巷尾的平民百姓。王教授，現在美國有些聲音說中國已被孤立，特朗普聲稱有無數貿易伙伴排著隊要“拍我馬屁”。用他的話說“他們拍我馬屁，迫切地想要達成一項貿易協議”。王文教授，您覺得這些說法靠譜嗎？

王文：特朗普顯然在撒謊，且每天都在製造謊言。實際上，特朗普已成為世界的公敵。一方面，迫使中國與歐盟團結起來，共同捍衛多邊主義國際秩序。另一方面，大多數國家都在維護自身利益。這說明，特朗普這一輪關稅戰已經失敗了。美國輸掉了國家形象，美國政府失去了公信力。美國軟實力在快速衰弱，可以說，特朗普已經徹底失敗。

今日俄羅斯：這個評價很犀利，教授。我不會在這點上質疑您，因為坦白說，很多人都有這想法。但請您幫我們理清楚，這次特朗普基本上是在跟中國重啟關稅戰對吧，因為2017年他就這麼幹過，結果吃虧的是美國人。現在他又要重蹈覆轍，這是自大、過度自信還是缺乏遠見呢？為何會再次看到這種局面？

王文：特朗普根本沒有真正的朋友。不僅他的同事，就連他身邊的人也都對他陽奉陰違，不說真話。從股市就能看出端倪，中國股市保持著穩定和上漲的趨勢，反觀美國股市卻在快速下跌。股市代表著社會的預期，特朗普應該清醒認識自身處境，他已經失敗了，只能說這傢伙實在愚蠢。

今日俄羅斯：還有一個問題，我們是否都應該做好最壞打算？還是說您能看到和平解決的曙光？

王文：從中國角度來看，我認為中國已經做好了應對最壞情況的準備。在中國，這次特朗普關稅，讓人們想到了1950年代的朝鮮戰爭，那個時候，中國沒有海軍、沒有空軍，但是，美國仍然被中國人趕回了“三八線”。現在，中國已是世界第二大經濟體，中國製造業總量是美國的2倍。因此，我認為中國更不可能做出讓步，全體中國人民將空前團結。可以說，特朗普激發了中國人無窮的民族主義。

今日俄羅斯：王文教授做了非常全面的分析。感謝您深夜參與節目，感謝您付出的寶貴時間！

王文：謝謝。

專訪內容英文版

RT :the Dean of the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University, joining us live from Beijing at about 10:25 pm. Sorry to keep you up so late. Dr. Wen. Thank you very much for joining us here on the RT International always appreciate your commentary. The Chinese Finance Ministry is saying that America is playing the numbers game. I'd like to know what that means. Also, do you think this whole tariff escalation can go on indefinitely?

Wang wen : There must be a breaking point somewhere along the line, right? I think these reflect China now maintains strategic determination, strategic endurance, strategic restraint, focuses on doing well in domestic affairs, so that’s why China now we don’t want to play these numbers games with the United States again. So actually, let me explain to you. In fact, it is completely meaningless for Trump to impose tariffs of over 100% on China. Cause simultaneously, Trump is also attempting to delay tariffs on goods from other countries in order to contain China. I think this trick is also foolish. Let me explain cause that will only encourage transit trade. Cause the United States needs Chinese goods. So that will encourage the other countries buy Chinese goods and then sell to America. So I think in the end, it will be American consumers who bore the tariffs.

RT :Yeah, I think it's exactly right. I think most analysts are correct when they say, at the end of the day, these tariffs are only gonna roll down hill and hit the everyday taxpayers. It's not the Top 1% getting hit. It's the everyday Joes and Janes getting hit. There are some voices Dr. Wen in America saying China is now isolated. Meantime, Trump says there are countless trading partners lining up, as Trump said, “to kiss my ass”. He said “they wanna kiss my ass, they wanna make a deal so badly”. How plausible are these statements, Dr. Wen?

Wang wen :I think it's very obvious that Trump now is lying. Every day he is lying. In fact, now Trump has become the public enemy of the world. On the one hand, he is forcing China and the EU to unite and jointly defend the multilateral international order, while also most of the countries we defend our owner interest, This indicates that Trump's current round of tariff war has failed. The U.S. now has lost its national image, and the US government has lost its credibility. And also the soft power of the U.S. is declining very quickly. So now, Trump is failed.

RT : That's a strong comment, doctor. And I'm not gonna challenge you on that, though, because your sentiment you're not alone with that sentiment, frankly, but help me understand this. All right. So trump has basically rejuvenated a new tariff war with China, because back in 2017, he did this, right? It didn't go too well for America back in 2017. Now he's trying it again. Is it a case of, I don't know, hubris, overconfidence, poor eyesight？Why are we seeing this again?

Wang wen :Yeah, I think Trump has no real friend. Not only they are a colleague, but also he is beside people, didn't tell him the truth. And on the other hand, in China, we can see in China’s stock market, the Chinese stock market has maintained a very stable and upward trend. On the contrary, the American stock market declined very quickly. So that means the social expectations. So I think Trump should recognize himself very clearly, but he failed, I think he's very stupid.

RT : Just very quickly talk to Dr. Wen. Just I mean look, a simple question, Should we all be preparing for the worse? Or do you see some kind of peaceful resolution on the horizon?

Wang wen : Well in China side I think that now China prepare the worst condition happened. Of course we prepared. Actually in China more and more Chinese people, they remind of the Korean War in the 1950s, cause that time China has no navy, no air force, but China defeat the United States in Korean War. Now, China is the world's second largest economy with a total manufacturing value twice that of the United States. So I think all the Chinese people will united very strongly and the Chinese are more unlikely to yield. So I think Trump has inspired nationalism of the Chinese people.

RT : Yeah, that's a pretty well rounded comment right there. Dr. Wang Wen, the Dean of the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University joining us live from Beijing. Appreciate you staying up so late. Thank you for your time.

Wang wen : Thank you.