川普再談500萬金卡，將非常非常快開售

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美國總統，每年初會向國會發表“國情諮文”，上週二晚上9點，是川普第二任期的首次演講，大約90分鐘。

在此次演講中，川普再次提及500萬金卡，下面是相關內容：

It's about time. And in the near future, I want to do what has not been done in 24 years, balance the federal budget. We're going to balance it. [Applause] With that goal in mind, we have developed in great detail what we are calling the Gold Card, which goes on sale very, very soon. For $5 million, we will allow the most successful job creating people from all over the world to buy a path to US citizenship.

It's like the green card, but better and more sophisticated. [Laughter] And these people will have to pay tax in our country. They won't have to pay tax from where they came. The money that they've made, you wouldn't want to do that, but they have to pay tax, create jobs. They'll also be taking people out of colleges and paying for them so that we can keep them in our country instead of having them be — being forced out.

Number one, at the top school as an example, being forced out and not being allowed to stay and create tremendous numbers of jobs and great success for a company out there. So while we take out the criminals, killers, traffickers and child predators, who are allowed to enter our country under the open border policy of these people, the Democrats, the Biden administration, the open border insane policies that you've allowed to destroy our country, we will now bring in brilliant hardworking job creating people.

They're going to pay a lot of money. And we're going to reduce our debt with that money. [Applause] Americans have given us a mandate for bold and profound change. For nearly 100 years, the federal bureaucracy has grown until it has crushed our freedoms, ballooned our deficits and held back America's potential in every possible way.

翻譯如下：

是時候了。在不久的將來，我要做一件24年來從未做過的事——平衡聯邦預算。我們將會實現這一目標。[掌聲] 為了實現這一目標，我們精心設計了一個名為“金卡”的計劃，很快就會開始發售。售價為500萬美元，我們將允許全球最成功的企業家購買通往美國公民身份的途徑。

這就像綠卡，但更好、更高階。[笑聲] 這些人將需要在美國繳納稅款。他們不需要繳納原居國的稅款。他們賺的錢，你當然不希望那樣，但他們必須繳稅、創造就業機會。他們還會從大學中選拔人才併為他們支付費用，從而讓他們留在美國，而不是被驅逐出境。

以頂尖學校為例，這些人本可以被允許留下，創造大量就業機會，為公司帶來巨大成功，但卻被迫離開。因此，當我們將那些在這些人、民主黨人、拜登政府的開放邊境政策下被允許進入我國的罪犯、殺人犯、販毒者和兒童性侵者驅逐出去時，我們將引進那些聰明勤奮、創造就業的人才。

這些人將支付一大筆錢，我們將用這筆錢來減少我們的債務。[掌聲] 美國人賦予了我們進行大膽而深刻變革的使命。近100年來，聯邦官僚機構不斷膨脹，它壓制了我們的自由，加劇了我們的赤字，並在各個方面阻礙了美國的發展潛力。

目前為止，川普一共談了3次金卡。

前兩次的完整記錄，在這裡：解讀：川普500萬金卡的實施計劃。

前後3次的講話，有不少相互矛盾的地方，目前還無法從講話來猜測金卡怎樣售賣，以及對EB-5計劃的影響。

但是，川普再次表態，將很快很快開始銷售：

We have developed in great detail what we are calling the Gold Card, which goes on sale very, very soon.

從EB5Sir所瞭解的資訊而言，川普團隊在計劃走Reconciliation預算案，如果這樣的話，金卡計劃落地的可能性將大為增加，一個月左右就有可能見分曉：重磅：川普金卡實施計劃。

今天有不少投資人諮詢我，該怎麼辦？

我的建議是：

目前，我們大概知道川普想搭車Reconciliation預算案，所以透過的可能性大大增加；
但是，我們不知道金卡是怎樣的計劃，以及對EB-5的影響；
Reconciliation預算案提案文字，估計很快會出來，也許一週至一個月（目前是拍腦袋的，還需進一步觀察，媒體都會報道的），出來之後就會知道對EB-5的影響，都是公開資訊；
等提案文字出來之後，再決定是否馬上投資EB-5都來得及，之前可以先做好前期準備；
Reconciliation預算案透過的流程大體是，先出提案文字，走眾議院，過了後去參議院，過了之後川普簽字就生效，整個週期可能會有反覆也可能一個回合搞定，幾天到幾周甚至幾個月不等；
生效之前遞交都來得及，遞交之後正常情況下就不會受任何新法案的直接影響；