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剛從印度參加完G20會議的美國總統拜登,面臨“後院失火”。當地時間9月12日,美國眾議院議長、共和黨人麥卡錫宣佈,他呼籲對拜登展開正式彈劾調查,指控拜登透過兒子亨特·拜登在海外商業交易中非法獲利數百萬美元,拜登收受賄賂等。

這位來自加州的共和黨人麥卡錫在國會山辦公室外發表講話時表示:“眾議院迄今為止的調查描繪了拜登家族的腐敗文化,這些指控圍繞著總統濫用權力、妨礙司法和腐敗。”
麥卡錫還表示:“如果你看看我們迄今為止掌握的全部資訊,你將不得不進行彈劾調查,這是很自然的一步。”
按照美國法律,眾議院彈劾是罷免總統正式程式的第一步。一旦正式開始調查,需要眾議院的過半投票才能交由美國參議院審判,而參議院則需要三分之二多數才能定罪和罷免。美媒報道稱,即使拜登在眾議院遭到彈劾,他也不大可能被民主黨控制的參議院罷免。

目前,共和黨掌握眾議院多數席位,這對拜登政府來說不是好訊息,因為共和黨掌握更多票數,一旦彈劾案開始進行表決,就意味著在眾議院獲得透過的可能性極大,而這將對拜登政府執政乃至明年的選舉不利。
此前,美國前總統特朗普曾兩次被彈劾。2019年是因為烏克蘭問題,2021年是因為美國國會山騷亂事件,但兩次均被參議院宣判無罪。如果拜登正式面臨彈劾調查,他將會成為美國曆史上第四位被彈劾的總統。但目前,眾議院還未啟動正式的彈劾投票程式,麥卡錫表示,將在後續的閉門聽證會中推進此事。

↓↓↓ 上下滑動,檢視演講稿 ↓↓↓
-Welcome back, everyone.
You know, in the months that we were gone and the weeks, House Republicans have uncovered serious and credible allegations into President Biden's conduct.
Taken together, these allegations paint a picture of a culture of corruption.
Now, here's what we know so far.
Through our investigations, we have found that President Biden did lie to the American people about his own knowledge of his family's foreign business dealings.
Eye witnesses have testified that the president joined on multiple phone calls and had multiple interactions.
Dinners resulted in cars and millions of dollars into his son's and his son's business partners.
We know that bank records show that nearly $20 million in payments were directed to the Biden family members and associates through various shell companies.
The Treasury Department alone has more than 150 transactions involving the Biden family and other business associates that were flagged as suspicious activity by US banks.
Even a trusted FBI informant has alleged a bribe to the Biden family.
Biden used his official office to coordinate with Hunter Biden's business partners about Hunter's role in Burisma, a Ukrainian energy company.
Finally, despite these serious allegations, it appears that the president's family has been offered special treatment by Biden's own administration — treatment that not otherwise would have received if they were not related to the president.
These are allegations of abuse of power, obstruction, and corruption, and they warrant further investigation by the House of Representatives.
That's why today, I am directing our House committee to open a formal impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden.
This logical next step will give our committees the full power to gather all the facts and answers for the American public.
That's exactly what we want to know — the answers.
I believe the president would want to answer these questions and allegations as well.
This effort will be led by Chairman James Comer of the Committee on Oversight and Coordination with Chairman Jim Jordan for Judiciary Committee and Chairman Jason Smith on Ways and Means.
Now, I do not make this decision lightly.
And regardless of your party or who you voted for, these facts should concern all Americans.
The American people deserve to know that the public offices are not for sale and that the federal government is not being used to cover up the actions of a politically-associated family.
Now, I would encourage the president and his team to fully cooperate with this investigation in the interests of transparency.
We are committed to getting the answers for the American public — nothing more, nothing less.
We will go wherever the evidence takes us.
Thank you very much.
一直以來,亨特被指控的稅務問題及其在烏克蘭的商業交易都是共和黨人的“子彈”,此番要對拜登進行彈劾調查,不免讓人猜測,可能他們找到了更多的證據。白宮也一直否認相關指控,堅稱拜登從未參與過兒子的商業事務。當地時間8月11日,美國司法部長加蘭宣佈,已任命一名特別檢察官來調查亨特·拜登一案。
據悉,應對共和黨對拜登發起的彈劾調查,白宮此前就已成立了“作戰室”。NBC甚至稱,白宮在今年共和黨成為眾議院新多數黨的第一天就開始為應對彈劾做準備。
梳理公開的資料顯示,美國此前有4位總統——安德魯·約翰遜、理查德·尼克松、比爾·克林頓及特朗普遭遇過彈劾問題。經歷過彈劾問題後,普遍民意支援率都有所回撥。
這也讓一些分析認為,對拜登的彈劾,是一次“報復”——首先是對特朗普連續受到四次刑事指控的反擊。其次,也是報當年彈劾共和黨總統的一箭之仇,雖然可能不會成功,但是得告訴外界,民主黨的總統也不比共和黨的強。
事實上,2024年的大選才是兩黨要爭奪的終極目標。

如今,美國即將開始大選季,需要分心去解決彈劾問題,無疑是會拉低拜登的選舉能力,也可能會對拜登的聲譽造成打擊。一旦被正式啟動彈劾程式,國會共和黨人將透過獨立調查、召開聽證會等各種手段,對拜登及其家族的行為進行全方位審查,就會有更多不利選情的資訊曝光,對拜登連任將帶來相當大的殺傷力。
所以,民主黨必將採取措施加以應對,比如加緊起訴籌備參選的特朗普。如今,特朗普面臨多項指控,被民主黨和特朗普本人認為是“政治報復”,特別是,美國聯邦地區法院上月底宣佈,將對特朗普涉嫌試圖推翻2020年總統大選結果的刑事審理時間定於明年3月4日,而第二天便是“超級星期二”——民主黨和共和黨將在這一天在多州進行總統大選的初選。
據路透社、CNN等媒體報道,3月5日“超級星期二”可能是共和黨總統提名競爭中決定性的一天,包括亞拉巴馬州、加利福尼亞州、緬因州等美國十多個州都將在這一天舉行大選初選。不過,有分析認為,這一庭審時間未必會動搖特朗普目前在共和黨內的壓倒性優勢。
對特朗普來說,至少目前形勢對他比較有利。特朗普目前在各項民調中領先其黨內競爭對手德·桑蒂斯,大機率會代表共和黨參加大選。作為前總統,特朗普曾兩次被民主黨人啟動彈劾。如果拜登被彈劾調查,將在很大程度上抵消特朗普被彈劾而揹負的“汙點”效應。
而且,拜登自身要面對的問題更是一團亂——本月底,美國政府可能出現停擺,意見出現分歧的國會正努力就預算延期達成一致;本週晚些時候,福特、通用汽車和斯特蘭蒂斯的工人可能舉行罷工,這對“親工會”的拜登來說,也不是好訊息。
所以,此番美國兩黨之爭才剛剛開始。

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